August 16, 2004
Venezuela in Crisis.
The AP is reporting that Hugo Chavez survived the recall vote in Venezuela yesterday. However, the opposition does not accept the results citing, among other inconsistencies, fraud.
The next few days are critical to the freedom of the Venezuelan people.
Posted by Val Prieto at August 16, 2004 07:52 AM
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Comments
did you have any doubt that this was going to happen? chaves will never relinquish power, not peacefully anyways!
tony
Posted by: tony at August 16, 2004 10:03 AM
I never expected otherwise. The best the Venezuelan people can hope now--nay--the best they could have hoped for since the failed coup, is a civil war ending in the defeat of the Communists. Otherwise it is Cuba all over again.
Posted by: Sorge at August 16, 2004 10:23 AM
What I can't understand is the size of the landslide. 3.5 signatures were gathered for the recall. 3.2 "Si" votes declared by the government this morning. It's an impossibility. And it's the exact opposite result declared by the NGO Sumate in their exit polling. Until I hear from CC/OAS, I call it a fraud. --s
Posted by: j.scott barnard at August 16, 2004 10:42 AM
I think the CNE director's announcement may have been premature. We may be hearing a different outcome soon. I pray. The NGO Sumate had exit polling that showed "Si" winning by 59%. Sheesh.
Posted by: j.scott barnard at August 16, 2004 10:50 AM
I fear all hell is going to break loose in Venezuela my friends.
Posted by: Val Prieto at August 16, 2004 10:54 AM
No surprise from what I have read. Very sad. There is an excellent article regarding voting trends in Latin America.
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/
Latin America Crackup?
Posted by: Kathleen at August 16, 2004 11:17 AM
Chavez won. Carter and the OAS except the results. In fact, I have seen comments from the US administration where they accept the results.
I actually thought the "Si" would win. But as my wife, who is Venezuelan, pointed out to me, Venezuela is a very poor country and populists tend to win in poor countries.
As far as the petition goes - I think the opposition only ever got 2.6 million valid signatures even after the "Reparos". So the 3.5 million number from last night is plausible if surprising.
I think the coup and last years strike probably cost the opposition a lot of votes.
Posted by: Dan Burnett at August 16, 2004 05:40 PM
The reporter sounds like she's cheering in this lead:
"CARACAS, Venezuela - Venezuelans overwhelmingly voted to keep President Hugo Chavez in office, dealing a crushing defeat to a splintered opposition and allowing the leftist leader to convert one of the biggest challenges of his presidency into an even broader mandate to carry on his "revolution for the poor.""
Could she get a Duranty Prize for that lead?
Of course, the encouraging thing about this time was that there WAS an opposition - which garnered at least 40 percent of the vote. Next time, I fear there won't be an opposition.
Posted by: bryan at August 17, 2004 12:57 PM


