Searching for "The Shift" Part 6

This is the sixth in a series of analyses of the election results to see whether or not the Cubans are abandoning the GOP. Part 1 is here. Part 2 is here. Part 3 is here. Part 4 is here. Part 5 is here.

Each time I will be examining a different zip code with a high proportion of Cuban-Americans living in it. This time it's 33010.

As you can see from the map above this zip code is basically the southern end of Hialeah.

Unfortunately the demographic data that I can obtain is somewhat dated (2000 census):

Total pop: 45,353 (100%)
Hispanic: 41,439 (91.4%)
Cuban: 29,982 (66.1%)
Median age: 39.4

So this an area that is more than 60% Cuban (at least in 2000).

There are 10 different precincts located in this zip code that reported results. For reference they are: 333 335 339 340 342 376 380 381 382 and 387.

A total of 10,414 votes for president were cast in these precincts.

John McCain received 6,583 of those votes or 63.2%

Barack Obama received 3,800 or 36.5%

Again we don't exactly know how many of those votes were cast by Cubans or the median age of those Cubans but it's pretty clear that this area like the others we've looked at thus far with it's large Cuban population was firmly in McCain's camp.

This is another zip where McCain's percentage is lower than Cuban pop. That would suggest that the Cubans in this zip were (at least slightly) less likely to vote for McCain than in other zips. But again the census data is from 2000 and doesn't necessarily reflect voters but population instead.

Until next time, I'll be searching for the shift.

Posted by Henry Louis Gomez at November 12, 2008 09:09 PM

Comments

Posted by: Robert at November 12, 2008 09:43 PM